Posture
Market weather is calm. We watch, we do not press.
No new risk until price holds above the line and weather stays aligned. Weather gate: Calm flatwater — probe only, quarter size near highs.
Capital protection
Aligned
Sized right, in-rule, weather-gated
Max drawdown
Walk-away line
Exit protects capital before it deepens
Rule confluence
3 / 5
Below 4/5 — no new entries
Weather gate
Calm
Choppy or worse blocks the lane
Broad index sleeveAligned
Core stability — slow, broad exposure. Trend intact, weather calm. Hold existing size; do not add near highs.
Metals sleeveWatch
Metals hedge sleeve — sample, not a recommendation. Holding quietly; no action unless weather shifts.
Income / defense sleeveWatch
Lower-volatility, steadier ground. Keep size light; no add until rule confluence clears 4/5.
Cash bufferAligned
Safety and optionality at highs. Cash is a position; high-cash near ATH is valid. Keeps the keys.